Historians and analysts voice fears about rising authoritarian tendencies and geopolitical risks in Southeast Europe.
Recent discussions in Croatia have raised alarms over the potential for political instability in the region, particularly in light of the leadership styles of Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić and Bosnian Serb leader Milorad Dodik.
Historian Hrvoje Klasić, speaking to Jutarnji List, expressed concerns, drawing parallels between contemporary political rhetoric and past authoritarian regimes.
Klasić highlighted striking similarities between the rhetoric of former U.S. President
Donald Trump and Adolf Hitler during the latter's rise to power in Germany.
He indicated that the global political landscape might be witnessing a concerning resurgence of nationalistic sentiments.
Klasić suggested that while historical figures like Hitler encountered some opposition, there seems to be a lack of effective resistance to current leaders promoting similar ideologies.
He underscored the need for a movement against such ideologies, questioning the readiness of contemporary politicians to oppose Trump’s positions, which he likened to those expressed by leaders including Vladimir Putin, Viktor Orbán, and Marine Le Pen.
Klasić noted that Trump's recent comments about territorial expansion, such as claims regarding the Panama Canal and Greenland, were unprecedented for a sitting U.S. president, raising alarms among European nations that experienced the consequences of territorial disputes in the past.
Additionally, Klasić acknowledged the influence of evangelical neo-conservatives backing Trump, emphasizing their support for Israel and their critical stance towards Muslims in the region.
He posited that Trump's geopolitical ambitions may not adhere to a coherent diplomatic strategy but rather reflect fluctuating business interests.
Klasić characterized Trump's approach as overtly transactional, suggesting that negotiations over territories might reflect the former businessman’s negotiating style rather than a legitimate foreign policy.
The historian also highlighted potential ramifications for the European Union if it were to navigate a landscape devoid of U.S. influence, questioning the economic and security implications for European citizens.
Responses to the regional rise of leaders like Vučić and Dodik were emphatic.
Klasić asserted that these leaders exhibit a troubling disregard for legal frameworks and have cultivated personal cults while suppressing dissent and independent media.
He warned that any significant breakdown of NATO or the European Union could leave Croatia in a precarious position.
On a more hopeful note, Klasić expressed admiration for the youth-led protests occurring in Serbia but remained cautious about their potential impact on the political landscape, drawing comparisons to student uprisings in France during 1968 that ultimately led to a return of power for de Gaulle.
In conclusion, Klasić described a worrying trend where current political leaders employ blame-shifting tactics while avoiding accountability for their actions.
The political atmosphere in Southeast Europe continues to be fraught with tension, as analysts call for vigilance in safeguarding democratic institutions against rising authoritarianism.