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Friday, Feb 14, 2025

Gold Prices Near Historical Peak Amid Economic Uncertainty

Gold Prices Near Historical Peak Amid Economic Uncertainty

Gold gravitates towards historical highs of $2,790 per ounce due to economic factors and market fluctuations.
The price of gold is rising once again, approaching the historical high of $2,790 per ounce recorded in October of last year.

Although the gold price has stabilized around $2,750 per ounce over the past three days, uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policy is contributing to the upward trend.

A call for reduced interest rates by the former U.S. President Donald Trump has driven increased investor interest in gold, lifting its value to $2,770 per ounce.

Trump's economic policy proposals, particularly around trade tariffs, have led to concerns about potential economic repercussions, prompting investors to seek the safety of gold as a hedge.

This apprehension has resulted in a weaker U.S. dollar, as the anticipation of potential trade conflicts grows.

A weaker dollar typically benefits gold, making it more affordable for foreign buyers.

Global economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures have further strengthened gold, reaffirming its status as a preferred safe-haven asset during times of market instability.

Trump's statements at the World Economic Forum in Davos advocating for immediate interest rate cuts have stirred speculation ahead of the Federal Reserve's forthcoming meeting, though the Fed is expected to maintain current interest rate levels, which range between 4.25% and 4.5%.

Treasury yields declined on Friday as traders gauged Trump's declarations and awaited upcoming economic data, including the S&P Global Composite and PMI indexes.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has noted that Trump's fiscal policy might generate new inflationary pressures, potentially leading to elevated interest rates.

He forecasts a 10-year Treasury yield of 5.5% should inflation accelerate, which could impact stock markets while indirectly supporting gold.

The U.S. dollar has been under pressure, dropping over 1% this week due to a sharp decline on Monday, largely resulting from the absence of anticipated tariff announcements following Trump's inauguration.

Since then, the dollar has experienced only slight fluctuations.

Analyst Ross Norman highlighted that gold's movement towards an all-time high coincided with the dollar's correction, which weakened following Trump's remarks suggesting a potential easing of tariffs and willingness to negotiate a trade deal with China.

In his address at the World Economic Forum, Trump emphasized the need for immediate interest rate cuts and stated in a Fox News interview that he would avoid using tariffs against China if possible.

Simultaneously, the U.S. dollar continues to face downward pressure, hitting its lowest level in a month and heading for its worst weekly loss in over a year.

Meanwhile, the euro rose by 0.7%, and the British pound gained 0.6%, underscoring the dollar's weakness and further supporting gold's advance.
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