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Friday, May 09, 2025

Putin's Preconditions for Ending the War in Ukraine Amid U.S. Policy Shifts

Moscow outlines specific demands for a potential peace agreement as former U.S. President Trump navigates foreign policy adjustments.
The Kremlin has articulated a set of preconditions that it claims must be satisfied for any potential peace agreement regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

These terms reportedly include a clearly defined framework for a final peace settlement and a carefully selected list of countries that would participate in any potential peacekeeping mission.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed an interest in mediating a peace deal, leading to a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy, which has traditionally been supportive of Ukraine.

In a recent statement, Trump acknowledged difficulties in dealing with Ukraine, saying, "With Russia, things are going very well.

Honestly, it is much harder for me to deal with Ukraine."

Sources close to negotiations indicate that Russia is open to an immediate temporary cessation of hostilities but insists on specific preconditions being fulfilled.

However, these demands have raised concerns in Ukraine and among its Western allies, who fear that such a deal could disproportionately benefit Moscow.

Trump's administration has explored measures to ease economic sanctions on Russia, including the potential lifting of restrictions on Russian oil sales, eliciting alarm from European allies.

Despite this, Trump cautioned Moscow on a recent occasion that he is now "seriously considering" imposing further sanctions and tariffs against Russia unless an armistice and peace agreement are achieved.

The U.S. Treasury Department is reportedly assessing the possibility of new sanctions targeting Russian oil companies and oilfield service firms, which would further intensify measures already imposed by the administration of former President Joe Biden earlier this year.

A former spokesperson for the National Security Council during the Biden administration characterized Trump’s rhetoric about sanctions as indicative of a "naiveté" regarding President Vladimir Putin, whose forces launched 67 missiles and nearly 200 drones at Ukrainian targets the previous night.

The spokesperson asserted that not only had Trump misjudged Putin's intentions, but his actions encouraging pressure on Ukraine have actually diminished the prospects for peace, strengthening Putin’s position instead of Ukraine's.

As one of the largest oil-producing nations globally, Russia is currently subject to over 20,000 sanctions imposed by the United States and its allies since the onset of the war in Ukraine in February 2022. The United States has individually enacted 6,433 sanctions, while measures from other countries, including the UK, Australia, the European Union, and Canada, amount to a total of 21,692 sanctions, according to data from Castellum AI.

U.S. sanctions include various restrictions on Russia's oil and gas revenues, such as a cap on the price of Russian oil at $60 per barrel.

This recent development marks a change in Trump's tone regarding Russia, following earlier remarks that raised concerns among allies about his favorable comments toward Putin and suggestions that Russia should be reinstated in the G7.
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